What is the mathematical probability that your religion is correct?
A lot of people apparently assume that because Christianity is either correct or it isn't, this somehow constitutes a 50-50 chance. Numerous apologist arguments, such as Pascal's Wager, are based on this assumption.
However, to determine the mathematical probability that a specific proposition about God is accurate, we must first determine the total number of possible states that could exist. Are there really only 2? Since God is an unknowable entity, I would postulate that there are infinite possible states - for all we know, God could be an entity for which the notion of "existence" in not applicable.
So given an infinite number of possible "Ultimate Truths", is there any reason to think yours is more likely than another? Keeping in mind that your personal faith has no bearing on probability, the chances of you being right is exactly 1 divided by infinity, or one infinitieth.
On the bright side, at least one of the inifinite possibilities must be correct. Maybe it's yours.
allilue: Actually you're wrong. That would be true if you said YOU don't comprehend God, but you're saying Humanity can't comprehend God. If one person gets it right on the nose, you're wrong. So your chances are really Infinity - (6 billion / Infinity), which is only 99.9(repeating)%. Not 100%.
creatrix: For some odd reason you are assuming that someone has to be right (hence p = 1/number of people). There is no reason for this assumption, unless you think that God's existence depends on belief. Also, the probability of G is 100% - SOMETHING must be true. If God does not exist, the G is the non-existence of God. Atheists have exactly the same chance of being right as anyone else.
wisdom: Golly, you're right! Thanks so much for sharing your profound wisdom with me. Here I thought I had made a spiritual breakthrough, but now I see I was just being hyperfoluted. Boy do I feel silly now.