Are Obamanomics to Blame for Worst Recovery Since the Great Depression?
The right measure and comparison for Obama’s record is not to compare the recovery to the recession, but to compare Obama’s recovery with other recoveries from other recessions since the Great Depression. By that measure, what is clear is that Obamanomics has produced the worst recovery from a recession since the Great Depression, worse than what every other President who has faced a recession has achieved since the Great Depression.
I used data from the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. It’s taken 64 months for the present recovery to regain the ground lost since the beginning of the Great Recession, whereas 64 months into the Reagan recovery, jobs had grown 9.5% higher than where they were when that recession started, representing an increase of about 10 million more jobs. (Not that I promote Reaganomics, but the point is there) By contrast, taking population growth into account, the present recession has cost 10 million jobs. The unemployment rate, according to the Minneapolis Fed, has stayed higher longer than at any time since the 1930s, and that’s using government figures and not the real unemployment rate that has been replaced by new “updated” calculations.
The average American family is worse off, in inflation-adjusted terms, than they were before the great recession began in 2007. Poverty levels have increased, along with government regulations. I came across this after the Federal Reserve of St. Louis released its report that any economic “recovery” as measured by gains in the stock market have failed to help those on the lower end of the economic scale. In its May 30 report, the Fed concluded that the average American family has recovered less than half of what it lost since the Great Recession bottomed out in the summer of 2009 mostly because the average family has little invested in the stock market and instead have most of their real wealth invested in real property, mostly their personal homes. Despite some recovery in home prices, that has done precious little to help the average family to recover lost ground significantly.
I think we need to look back a little farther though to the 1920-21 depression. This just shows how a nearly free market economy really responds when it's left to it's own devices. There was a sharp decline in productivity that began in January 1920 of almost 30 percent (far deeper than that of the present Great Recession), the economy rebounded by more than 60 percent so that by July 1921, unemployment had fallen to normal low-single-digit levels. This set the stage for the Roaring Twenties, when the economy doubled in output in just over seven years.
http://www.minneapolisfed.org/publications_papers/studies/recession_perspective/index.cfm?
http://www.policymic.com/articles/15983/u6-unemployment-rate-remains-above-14-percent-as-more-job-seekers-sadly-give-up-looking-for-work
http://www.stlouisfed.org/newsroom/displayNews.cfm?article=1801
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1921_recession
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roaring_Twenties
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Gdp20-40.jpg
@Thomas: Actually, It's all stated under both the FED's news releases provided in the links. It's not all that difficult to take a look for yourself to see. They provide the chart data, a broad horizon, and you can compare yourself to that of other recoveries from previous recessions.