Within the next two years, 2008-2009, how low do you expect the Dow Jones Industrial Average to go?

I see a 30% correction from today's level....by January 2009

Actually wouldn't be surprised if I see higher % correction by next January.

The way the fed keeps injecting liquidity [freaking large amounts of cash] into the failed bankrupt markets;

@ 15,000 by July 2008 with @ $5 gasoline

@ 20,000- 30,000 by the end of 2009 with @ $25 dollar per gallon gasoline

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If the fed was not so generous with the money spigots...

less than 10,000 by july 2008 with @ $4 gasoline

@ 3,000- 7,000 by the end of 2009 with @ $3.50 gasoline

Does this help any?

Depends on how low the dollar can safely go...

I think it will go up slightly in the next year. Hopefully it will go up significantly the next year or so. The stock market is only about 10% higher today than it was 7 years ago. That is probably the worst performance in its history (it went up about 325% during the 8 years Clinton was in office). But the U.S. economy is in real trouble right now. We are losing manufacturing jobs and the price of oil is eating away at disposable income. The dollar is at all time lows against other countries.

extreme unemployment is a superb greater suitable situation! in case you compound the situation with extreme inventory expenses. shares have not have been given any the place to bypass different than down. people who very own them will lose fortunes. whilst unemployment is extreme, human beings do not shop, purchase products and amenities or make investments. The inventory industry will dive. A low inventory industry and extreme employment is an investors dream. it truly is a golden threat to speculate in good deal shares. shares will bounce and investors will make a fortune. In economic words, low expenses are the scientific care to deflation.

I don't care if it will possibly reach 10,000 (less than 10% likelihood but definitely possible), but instead where it's going. In fact, it going to 10,000 might be healthier than people think since it means that stocks will have what they need for a 20 year rally.

16,250 to 18,000 by 2010 and 14,500 to 15,500 by end of the year. That would require a 30% increase from its current levels to reach the top end of that range and 21% for the bottom end of the range. That will happen unless the Fed has rates above 2% (which are currently 3%).

I have read that bear markets last an average of 14 mos, so hold on, it should start getting better in 09. I don't think it will drop below 11,000.

I think we are quickly headed for a depression, not a recession so it will go very low

It will drop below 10,000 before it heads up significantly.

it will level off, and eventually rise again ... i hope