Has any one else seen Joe Bastardi's near range predictions?

I read about it earlier today or was that yesterday? He suggested that there was a 20 year (I believe it was 20 thereabouts (20 cool, 20 warm,etc)) cycle and it is now just beginning the cool again. He did mention the La Ninya was likely to be extended for a couple years with cold winters predicted for the next two years. I don't know much about him and hope he is wrong. Cool is bad, warm good!!! When you look at this Wiki Temp reconstruction that I don't like but was too lazy to continue looking for a better one, you see many ups and downs on each line at the approximate interval he suggested. Presumably, these were the "cycles" he was referring to.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:1000_Year_Temper...

Here you go

http://247wallst.com/2011/02/02/has-extreme-winter...

For a weather forecaster, those are pretty far-out (in time) predictions, actually. So far the two main theories as to why the past two winters have been especially brutal (to, say, Europe) are a drop in solar output, and cold polar air being pushed out of the Arctic due to heat convecting from a previously ice-free Arctic ocean. Either way, the result of each is a negative North Atlantic Oscillation - a global cooling phenomenon is an assertion he'll have to back up with some scientific evidence. It's likely there won't be a La Nina during at least next winter to help drive surface temps down.

If we do have more cold winters, and the solar cycle coming out of its minimum from ~2008, then that would be a better indicator that the sea ice cover is a cause of the negative NAO. If the winters stop being cold, then it may have been solar, since we won't have such a minimum anymore.

Typical bastardization of reality from that guy.

Can you cite a source for his claims? By "world temperatures" do you mean winter temperatures or averaged over a full year?

Bastardi is known for trying to oversimplify weather and make spot-on forecasts that have turned out wrong on many occasions. He doesn't display the patience and attention to detail that are the hallmarks of a good scientist.

I wonder if he missed the fact that 2010 tied 2005 for warmest year on record?

The sunspot and CME number is very low for this period in the solar cycle especially compared to the 90's when we had much more solar activity and the accelerated warming. I really hope that the sun gets back to normal activity otherwise the cold is coming as it did many times before like during the Maunder Dalton, etc.

I suspect that Joe Bastardi is at least as well qualified to predict long term weather than any environmentalist climate scientist.

Did you hear that Jesus is coming and he is really pissed? did you hear that Jan 1 2000 all the computers would crash wait that didn't happen either. How about that huge surplus in tax money? We going to give south Viet Nam a Democratic Government and bring our troops home before 1964. Hey make lots of predictions ignore the one that don't happen brag about the one you hit right. Pray for thousand of thing brag about the ones that come true ignore the rest. Prayer and prediction use the same odds.