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can someone help answer this math question?

Can you please help me answer this? Show me the solution, too, please.

There is a total of 800 entries. 45 entries are randomly picked as winners. So how many entries do I need to at least be 1 of the 800 picked?

3 Answers

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  • 5 years ago

    If this is a raffle with 800 tickets, of which 45 are picked at random to win prizes, then to guarantee (ie be 100% certain) that you hold at least one of the 45 winning tickets, you need to purchase 800-45+1 = 756 tickets.

    Richard B is correct. If you are willing to be less than 100% certain of getting a prize, you can buy fewer tickets. That is a more difficult problem.

    As Richard B states, you first need to decide how uncertain you are willing to be, eg 50%. However, Richard B's method solves the problem : If I buy n tickets, what is the probability of winning at least 1 of the 45 prizes? Your problem is the opposite : If I want to have probability x% of winning at least 1 of the 45 prizes, how many tickets do I need to buy?

    Your problem can be solved by trial and error using Richard B's method on a spreadsheet. If you buy n tickets the probability of not winning any of the 45 prizes is

    (800-n)/800 * (799-n)/799 * (798-n)/798... * (756-n)/756.

    If you decide you want to have a probability of x% of winning at least 1 of the 45 prizes, vary n until this product is below 100-x.

    To be 50% certain of winning at least 1 prize you need to buy 12 tickets.

    To be 90% certain of winning at least 1 prize you need to buy 39 tickets.

    To be 99% certain of winning at least 1 prize you need to buy 76 tickets.

  • 5 years ago

    756

  • Anonymous
    5 years ago

    cannot be answered. obviously if you have 766 entries you will be picked.

    but that is not who to figure it. first decide is ½ or 50% 'good enough"

    then 799/800 is a loser on the first draw, then 778/799 will lose on the second draw. calculate 45 draws by lose* lose * lose...45 times that is the chance you will lose all and never win once.

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