Paul has done a good job of being the puppet master this summer, and his fellow houseguests have all but handed him the big prize. But weird things can happen due to the format. What do you see as the most likely way that somebody else could win?
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Favorite Answer
He plans to take Xmas & Josh to F3 and if one of them wins final HOH. They will take eachother not him
Or if he doesn't split up Jason & Alex next week
That's the only way I see him not winning
Tmess2
My own belief is that Final 4 is the bigger risk.
If Final 3 HOH follows its typical format -- endurance, physical/memory, and social (complete the juror's comment) -- Christmas will not be able to compete in Part 1 and may not be able to compete in Part 2. I also think that Paul has an advantage over Josh in both Part 1 and Part 3.
At the Final 4, the real power belongs to the winner of the POV and HOH merely has safety. If any duo (Alex and Jason or Christmas and Josh) makes it to the Final 4, the risk is that the fourth person wins HOH and one of the duo wins POV. In that case, even if the duo wants to take Paul to the Final 3, they can't without evicting their partner.