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Bill
Lv 4
Bill asked in Politics & GovernmentPolitics · 1 decade ago

How is Hillary's big "win" a win?

She went into Tuesday down by 139 delegates. Pennsylvania ended up getting her 82 delegates to Obama's 73, so she gained 9 delegates on Obama. Then, starting just before the polls closed on Tuesday, some of the superdelegates weighed in. By midnight Wednesday night Obama had picked up 8 more superdelegates than Hillary did, so her big "momemtum shifting" win actual got her 1 delegate closer to Obama than she was. She needed to win 58.57% of the remaining delegates to keep pace with Obama on a percentage basis. By only winning by 55-45%, she actually lost ground. Now she needs to win 59.40% of what's left.

When is a "win" not really a win? When it's a win for Hillary Clinton.

14 Answers

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  • Anonymous
    1 decade ago
    Favorite Answer

    Given the fact that just three weeks ago Hillary led by a little over 20 points, Obama never had an "edge" based on being ahead when it came to Pennsylvanians. And DF, I agree that "it's about momentum", but the momentum isn't Hillary's. It's Obama's, based on coming from 20 points down and holding Hillary's net gain for the day to 1 (out of 139 she needed to catch up) delegate.

    And with Obama leading slightly in Indiana and up by more than 15 in North Carolina, and more superdelegates every day (about 8-10 a day) coming over to Obama, it's time to stick a fork in Hillary. She's done. The only way Hillary can win now is the way Humphrey won the nomination in 1968. Fortunately for our country and the Democratic Party, Sirhan Sirhan is safely tucked away at the state penitentiary in Corcoran, CA.

  • 1 decade ago

    It's not just about delegates anymore.

    Because the race is so close, neither candidate can get a clear majority under party rules. As such, superdelegates will probably decide. At worse, superdelegates and party leaders will have to decide.

    The superdelegates will choose a nominee based on who they think will beat McCain and with Hillary grabbing all the electoral rich states, things could move into Hillary's favor if she continues to win more states.

  • 1 decade ago

    You're absolutely right.

    Hillary Clinton won in PA by nine percentage points. A couple of months ago she was projected to win by twenty.

    Have you noticed that all the commentary about Pennsylvania compares it to her win in Ohio, but not in Texas, which held its primary/caucus the same day? Even when at the time, the media were screaming that Hillary was making a solid comeback?

    That's because Obama ended up winning in Texas after the results of the caucus came in.

  • Uptown
    Lv 5
    1 decade ago

    She only netted 10 delegates, so that is not very big.

    Obama will win by a blowout in North Carolina, I am predicting a 20 point win. He will win in Indiana by 10 points.

    He will gain 250,000 in popular vote on May 6.

  • 1 decade ago

    A 10% margin of victory was a referendum on B. Hussein Obama's popularity (or lack there of) in the big states.

    Obama will still carry New York and California, but he is toast in swing states like Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania. There is no way he's going to carry Texas and most of the mid western states considering the baggage he carries.

    Mr. Obama is clearly a left wing radical. He has associated with a racist pastor over 20 years. He is connected to a couple of domestic terrorists who have set off bombs and who are unrepentant regarding their acts. They escaped prosecution on technical issues, not on innocence. Voters in the general election will not appoint him President of the United States. His glib comments about poor Americans turning to religion provides a revealing insight into his character. His wife's commentary that she was not proud of this country until her husband won a primary will not simply go away. What is even more distressing regarding her comments is that she was a recipient of an Ivy League degree through affirmative action, not individual accomplishment or academic achievement. Obama is two faced prevaricate who was prompted to run by the "future leader" talk at the '04 convention where he delivered an outstanding keynote speech. Come November, voters will politely tell Obama that he is not even close to possessing the character they are looking for in a President.

  • 1 decade ago

    Thank you very much for the wonderful information, about how her "win" wasn't actually a big deal. I mean, let's hope and pray she will lose. I guess it is pointless to analyze this "win" with historical "victories" of different kinds, since my answer might then be reported and deleted.

  • 1 decade ago

    Not one part of that is even relevant to winning the general election. Hillary has won the states with the larger amounts of electoral votes. The electoral votes determine who will be president. Obama's while winning popular votes is woefully lacking in states with electoral votes.

    If you nominate him you are going to loose the general.

    No biggie to me I am a republican. It just baffles me that Democrats can't figure out how we elect presidents.

  • 1 decade ago

    The voters knew that and still gave her a 10 point victory. You would expect that being ahead would have given him a huge edge.

  • Anonymous
    1 decade ago

    I think both candidates are trying to milk democrats for money. Why else would they be dragging this out?

    Also funny how everyone was saying she needed 10% and pop exactly 10%.

  • 1 decade ago

    Another deluded Obama supporter

    Okay.........for the 100th time here...NEITHER Barack nor Hillary can win on pledged delegates, it is up to the supers!

    Read the news once in awhile or something....

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