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Will cooler Gulf Of Mexico water affect 2011 hurricane season?
I've noticed Gulf water temps are cooler now than they usually are this time of year. Will this have any affect the upcoming hurricane season? Particularly with intensity.
5 Answers
- UALogLv 71 decade agoFavorite Answer
Yes, if it stays cooler than normal, it can have an impact, especially if the temperature remains below 80 degrees F.
A word of caution about the cool temperatures you are seeing on the Gulf of Mexico at this time. The most likely reason why the sea surface temperatures are cooler this winter is because of those cold storm that have reached farther south than normal this winter mainly due to the La Nina event and the positioning of the upper level flow pattern. Since the gulf of Mexico is a relatively shallow body of water when compare to the Atlantic Ocean, its temperature will react much faster to changes if the summer temperatures warms rapidly. So even though it is cooler than normal at this time, it can warm up relatively fast and recover to near or above normal by early into the hurricane season.
Now, if you had seen the Atlantic Ocean sea surface temperatures much cooler than normal, then I would say the chances are higher that this cooler temperature today will have an impact on the coming hurricane season.
- 1 decade ago
If sea surface temperatures remain anomalously cool, then tropical cyclones entering the Gulf of Mexico have a greater chance of weakening before landfall or failing to intensify significantly. However, it wouldn't have an impact on the season as a whole, especially since waters in the central and eastern Atlantic remain relatively warm.
- SuckaLv 51 decade ago
The number of hurricanes in a season is cyclical, but cooler waters would possibly offset the number and intensity.
- baccaLv 44 years ago
Theoretically, probable. yet, how do you get it there? what is going to be the ecological impact of shifting that lots water from one place to a various, and the ecological impact of the contents of the arctic water being dumped right into a thoroughly new environment? How do you offset the water point being extra, the place is something of that water going to flow? How will the blending of those 2 waters, with their diverse organic and organic and mineral content cloth, impact different climate and their varieties in the area?
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