How do you calculate NFL Point Spreads?

A point spread is a number created by oddsmakers offered to bettors to either take the favorite or the underdog. It was originally conceived as a way to let the public bet on the home team, even when the opponent was a highly superior team very likely to win. By offering points to these home team betters, they could level the playing field a bit, and fans could bet on the home team with a perceived chance of winning the bet.

Pointspreads in football are NOT determined based on who the oddsmakers think is the best team, or who will win!

They are based simply on how many points are necessary to balance the betting load on teams. If heavy betting action is taking place on a certain team that is favored, then the bookies will adjust the pointspread to get more action on the other team by giving more points to the underdog. All the oddsmaker cares about it is the action, and the "juice" he collects form the losers. As long as the bets are even, he wins every week. So the point spread is not a measure of who will win, but a measure of how many bets there are on each team in any given matchup.

But keep this in mind, some of the betters are a large group of specialized gamblers, who may have information not available to the general public. So in fact the pointspread is set not just by the oddsmakers, but in fact by many, many experts. Then the pointspread can be furthur adjusted by the general public and how they choose to bet the home teams and the favorites.

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Point Spread Calculator

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RE:

How do you calculate NFL Point Spreads?

In wagering, the point spread is the amount of points that the inferior team is granted for the bet to be fair. The team that is giving the points is considered the favourite, while the team that is getting the points is considered the underdog. While there is no exact way to calculate the point spread between two teams, you can use many statistics and variables to determine the point spread for a specific game when making a friendly wager.

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I am a professional gambler of 15 years here in Vegas.....if you want that information I can show you the mathematical formula used to calculate lines for college football, college basketball, NFL and NBA......but it will cost you.....nothing as important as what you ask for is free

I don't calculate point spreads.

I just read them later.

The bookies have mathematicians that take into account public perception, injury reports, past record, etc. The figure out what number will most likely make them the most money.