Who besides me Thinks Iran has had an Atomic Bomb already?

There are a couple of reasons why they are behind schedule.

1 Stuxnet - It took nearly 2 years for Iran to figure out what was going wrong with their centrifuges. During that time, they lost over a 1000 centrifuges. What is not often explained, (mostly due to the reporters who do not have a clue) is that each time a centrifuge failed, the process in the cascade came to a stop, some of the Hex was lost, and it took days to get the process back on track. Then they lost another centrifuge, and started all over again.

So during the period that Stuxnet was active very little Uranium was enriched.

This was the period that several "nuclear scientists" in Iran had terminal encounters with guys on motorcycles and limpet mines.The Iranians blamed Israel, but it sounds a lot like what the Revolutionary Guard would do if they suspected that some people were sabotaging the project.

After all, an unwitting "nuclear scientist" with a laptop that has Stuxnet on board (but not detected) and a dedicated saboteur posing as a "nuclear scientist" with a laptop is really hard to tell apart.

All of this set their program back a good couple of years.

2. More recently, Iran reported that a transmission tower supporting the power lines going to their second enrichment plant at Frodow was knocked down by an explosion and the plant lost power

Given that centrifuges rely on magnetic bearings (mechanical ones cannot handle the speed), losing power is kind of a big deal.

Take away the power that keeps the bearings working while the centrifuge is spinning at thousands of RPMs, and Bad Things Happen.

Since Frodow is a secondary enrichment facility, they start their process with enriched Uranium, and then boost the enrichment up to produce the final product.

That puts a goodly portion of years and years of work into one cascade as the final concentration takes place.

If that cascade lost power, all that Hex just went bye-bye, and years of work just went down the toilet.

Gee - that would be too bad.

Granted, there is a lot of speculation here, but they may not be as close as you think.

Well, I think they might. They may get some from North Korea in exchange for oil, for example. More likely Pakistan would sell to Saudi Arabia. Anyway, there are ways to shortcut the building process, North Korea may just enrich Iran's uranium from 20% to 90% for them instead off selling actual bombs. They could transfer this by sub, maybe, like Germany & Japan in WW II. Just because we haven't seen the last steps in Iran doesn't mean they didn't happen somehow.

No, because lovely as Iranians are, they are not the best at creating things ( Persian carpets and delicious ice cream aside).

If they had created one there would for certain have been an explosion by now! Not intentional you understand.....

they still have to test their stuff out,cant just make a bomb of that magnitude and hope it works every country that has the bomb first had to test it out,and you can not hide the results of a nuclear bomb going off,the ground would shake .

not yet . youll know when they do, pakistan might have a nuke, but could you see them using it? they are a backward, failed state. even if backed into a corner....cant see it.

sure..they are always ready 4 war

I also think they already have the bomb, what they don't have is a reliable method of delivery or suitable fuse.