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Do the democrats think that the republicans will be punished in 2014 if we go over the fiscal cliff?
If they have, they haven't looked at the demographics. The republican majority comes from fiscally conservative districts. The fear for most republicans in these districts is that if they voted for a tax hike with no signficant spending cuts--they would be defeated in the republican primary by more conservative candidates. Thus, the voters in these districts are not going to "punish" their congressmen for following their wishes concerning tax hikes and spending cuts. If you look at the democgraphics, don't expect a sea change in 2014--the folks in these districts will blame Obonozo and Reid for going over the fiscal cliff. You democrats may not like this, but this is the actual sitution.
12 Answers
- Andy FLv 78 years agoFavorite Answer
It looks to me as if you're not actually asking a question, but you do raise an interesting point.
I can't speak for ALL Democrats -- I doubt anybody can. But from what I've read, some them apparently are hoping that the GOP will be blamed if the government goes over the fiscal cliff, yes.
The precedent that some people look to is the budget standoff between Bill Clinton & Newt Gingrich in the late 1990s, when Gingrich basically threatened to let the government shut down if Clinton didn't cave in on some budget issue or other. Clinton met Gingrich's bluff, the government did shut down for awhile, and the GOP mostly got the blame.
Whether it would work the same way this time is an open question, I think.
Given the way redistricting has put most members of Congress, liberal or conservative, in very safe districts where they have much support from like-minded constituents, you may be right in your prediction.
Maybe both the Democrats and the Republicans will have their reelection chances unaffected by failure to avert the fiscal cliff.
I guess the crucial question here is how would your scenario affect the independent swing voters who are important to both parties in close elections.
-- from a democratic socialist who reads
- Anonymous5 years ago
The economic cliff is forcing the GOP to control. they might now no longer sit down on their palms. they are being compelled to act or destruct. LMAO, the democrats of the civil war are the GOP's problem now. The Democrats you're speaking of have been racists and tension out of the Democratic occasion in 1948. The have been the Dixie Democrats. They grew to become republicans without the place else to bypass. examine you historic previous, lol. thank you for the help!
- ?Lv 48 years ago
You so ignored that 53% of America will blame the Republicans for the fiscal cliff and only 20% blame the dems.
By all means ignore everything. Cut your own throat.
- 8 years ago
Thanks for that thought. I have given a few lectures at TEA party meetings. We control primaries. I was feeling down about this coming disaster. Actually, if we don't cut spending all the tax cuts in the world won't help us with hyper inflation. John Maynard Keynes is perhaps the most destructive "non-dictator" of the 21st century without the distinction being born in the 21st century. Keynesian economics = Obamanomics has a built in inflationary drive. With inflation, debt doesn't matter.
My thoughts. Since Obama wants to play hardball, the republicans should simply attach huge spending cuts to apply instantly for one tax bracket at a time. If he wants tax cuts let him pay for them with bigger spending cuts.
For instance Republicans should offer tax cuts for the lowest bracket in exchange for cutting all spending for Nat. endowment for the arts, Nat. education assn., Public TV, ... etc
Tax cuts for the second lowest branch in exchange for de-funding ACORN and specific parts of the EPA ...
- ?Lv 68 years ago
Is this "the actual situation" just like Romney was supposed to win with 320 electoral votes? Or is your "data" unskewed like unskewedpolls.com?
- Anonymous8 years ago
Because the image of the Republican party was severely damaged by the debt crisis and this will be no different. People want leaders who care about our standard of living, not their ideologies.
- Sassy OneLv 78 years ago
Wrong. The Republican Party is done. You can thank the far right fringe for that.
- rhetoric2KLv 58 years ago
If it wasn't for Republican gerrymandering they would've already lost more seats in the House.
- ?Lv 78 years ago
I think on some level they know this. Their politicians are the ones who seem oblivious to it.