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How do I calculate a time given a starting value, end value, and percentage of change?

Update:

How many years would it take to reduce from 35ug/m^3 to 25ug^m3 while reducing at a rate of 5% each year?

How would I go about solving this? What formulas can I use to get an exact amount of time in Years

1 Answer

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  • Anonymous
    5 years ago

    Decay at a constant rate follows the formula

    A(t) = (A0)e^(kt)

    A0 is the initial amount

    k is a constant (which will be negative for decay, positive for growth) that describes the rate.

    t is the time in some convenient units, such as years.

    If it decreases 5% per year, k will just be ln(.95). Then the equation becomes

    A(t) = A0(.95^t)

    If you have the half-life of some radioactive substance, say 14 years, like Plutonium-241, then the constant is ln(0.5)/14, giving you A0 e^(ln0.5 / 14)t = A0 (0.5)^(t/14). The last expression makes it clear that every 14 years, the amount is cut in half.

    If the amount reduces to p percent every y years, then the constant is ln(p)/y.

    Note that p is what you have left. It reduces by 1-p every y years. What you need in the constant is the percentage left. When you have the half-life, that's not clear.

    Now you can work out your question.

    Solve 25 = 35 (0.95^t)

    25/35 = 5/7 = 0.95^t = e^ln(.95)t

    Take log or ln of each side--it doesn't matter which one you use.

    log(5/7) = log5 - log7 = tln(0.95)

    t = (log5 - log7) / ln(0.95) = 6.56

    Check: 35 x .95^6.56 = 24.99970

    BTW, I think the units are strange in your equation. You have ug/m^3, which is a density. Generally decay like this would refer just to grams. Of course, if you had a sample which had a density of 35ug/m^3 of a decaying substance, if the volume doesn't change, you'd end up with a density of 25ug/m^3. So it doesn't really matter, but I thought I would point that out.

    Hope this clarifies it. It's a good question, and the formula isn't that complicated if you have a working knowledge of e^x and logarithms.

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