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Why do some people on the self proclaimed "pro science" left think that all life on earth is facing imminent doom within 10-100 yrs?
Is this loud doom cult screeching supposed to convince anyone? The idea that a rise from 280 to 400 ppm co2 will kill all life despite life thriving under 2000 ppm in past is insane.
5 Answers
- Anonymous2 years ago
Because AGW is a cult for leftest
- L. E. GantLv 72 years ago
While statistics is a branch of mathematics, it's one that I prefer to avoid (funny in a way -- it was the entry trick to the first professional job I got). While I know that stats is great for confirmation of a theory or model, I find that more and more stisticians are using it as a prediction tool -- extrapolation from a data sample.
Not so long ago, I went to a presentation by a government statistician, talkling about how to use statistics and what they mean about trends. It seems that he, like I had fifty years or so ago, had come to the conclusion that ALL trend models do the same thing -- they head off exponentially past the latest data poiints.
AGW models do exactly that -- that's one of the weaker parts of the AGW model. More, it uses just a small part of atmospheric data ( CO2 is still, in general under 0.04% of the atmospheric gases, and only when one discounts the effects of water vapour (a far more prevalent "greenhouse" gas). ANyway, the statistics show a rising trend that is accelerating exponentially when extrapolated.
So, with a world that nowadays uses statistics and models based solely on statistics, everything is driven by fear -- the immanent doom you are talking about. It's the model that everyone fears, and statistics prove that it will happen.
Maybe people should remember Mark Twain's view: "There are lies, damned lies and statistics"
- SamwiseLv 72 years ago
It's not ALL life. It's just most of the more complex species that exist now--like vertebrates, trees, reef corals, etc.
Many of the smaller, faster-breeding ones will probably have descendants that have evolved into new species. And of course, quite a few new species can evolve from even less-complex forms--bacteria and some insects, for instance.
Even human beings might survive, in small numbers, sustained by complex technology.
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