Egypt: Do you feel there is a near war in the middle east? why? Why not?
2010-02-16T21:57:09Z
@wolfi..good morning,, I am not talking about Egypt at all,,as I do believe,nothing is going to happen here,, I mean Gulf/Iran..Israel/Lebanon.... I see that Mr Hassan Allah is preparing and is giving excuses to Israel to attack Lebanon ( the famous big mouth...), the same with Iran,,,even I start to believe they are doing that on purpose..(i think they are not idiots)
It’s a fact there is going to be a war in the Middle East soon and tensions are mounting, and a lot of little children are going to get hurt, the question is where is Egypt going to stand, with us or with the Arabs, because the next war in the Middle East will involve Egypt, it will be devastating for us, but we’ll always have the US to help us after the devastation, the dilemma for Egypt will be: if they support the Arabs (because they will devastated more then we will) the war will hit Egypt, and they will not be able to rely on help from the US, and if they side with us there will be a revelation in Egypt, it will be a decisive moment for Egypt that I could say.
2003 the war on Iraq 2006 war on Lebanon 2008 war on Gaza
I can't tell it's sure coming, but for the war company [israel] it's time for the business. They can't live without wars, the main reason of the creation of israel in the (Middle) East. I'm not fan of Hassan Nassrallah, but I believe yes Hezballah has some weapons to cause very painful destruction inside israel. It's not easy to reach the objective accurately, but it's sure can reach israel in depth. On the other side israel want very much instability in Lebanon, they can't stand that Lebanon side is cool. Nobody can expect what kind of war or weapons exactly will be used this time. It's not sure if it'llbe or not, but all signs shows that israel and Iran is preparing for war and I expect israel will start as usual and may be it wont be so far from the Arab league conference. usually israel prefer the wars to start before the Arab gatherings and for many other military and political reasons they prefer certain dates for wars unless it's war against Palestinian or Lebanese civilians.
The country that Russia will support will not be involved in this war because israel knows the Russian surprises in wars are nightmares and they don't like to face it. As for Iran and israel, both have enough information about each other. Iran president is almost the same mentality of israel and the Americans prefer to keep their soldiers in the area unharmed, so israel will make the dirty business all the time ... the question is who will cover costs this time !
I think you will agree with me on that this area of the world is to complex and very difficult to predict what's gonna happen . I mean every one can say what is more or less likely to happen according to what we see but still in this area of the world every thing is possible . On these basis I think a real war in the area is not likely to happen in the near future but the possibility of small ( guerrilla or behind curtain ) operations is very strong. Now as for Mr Nasrallah or Iran we might disagree on that one I may have no love for Iran but I certainly have a very deep respect and admiration , both of sheikh Nsarallah and Iran use whatever Cards they have to ensure their own interists which is mainly for both - although not on the same scale - is to prove that they are affective and an important part of the game in oth lebanon or the middle east in general respectvly and they did. Nasrallah proved that hizbuallah is a very important part- if not the most important part - of the puzzel in lebanon politics and nothing can happen without them being included. As for Iran they are playing every one ( U.S , UN, Europe and at laaast Arabs and gettinga way with what they want including half Iraq ,Syria and lebanon .
There will definitely be a war in the middle east. But not in the near future -unless it's another aggression - I think all parties are weighing their choices and a war is not guaranteed for any of them right know ; Israel knows that Iran can retaliate and Iran knows that to attack Israel means war with the U.S which they can't handle right now . Hezbollah has a lot of domestic trouble in Lebanon and -unlike Israel - they won't gain support if the started another war without coordinating with other groups in the country. As for Syria - Al Assad - would leave Golan occupied for another 40 years rather than risk his power in a war without support _ either for from Arab countries or from Iran -. For Egypt ,,,,,,,,,,,,00000000 big silence