When Did The GOP Last Win a Close Election?

John Thune lost for the US Senate by 524 votes amid allegations of voter fraud, especially on some Indian reservations. Dino Rossi won on election day by 261, but three recounts later after they kept "finding" more ballets and Rossi now lost by 133 votes out of 2.8 million cast.

Norm Coleman was ahead of Al Franken by 215 votes, but again, three recounts later, Franken was the winner.

By contrast, Bush won FL by 1,784 votes in 2000, the various recounts only got the victory down to a 527 vote margin, the results didn't swing from one side, to the other.

So why can't the GOP win close elections? Wouldn't the odds say they should win 40-50%?

2011-04-07T10:42:21Z

EDIT: If you answer on the last time, please quote the race.

2011-04-07T11:09:02Z

Thanks "S", but Rick Scott won by 61,000 votes, 2,619,335 to 2,557,785. I am really looking for those of less than 1,000.

El Tecolote2011-04-07T10:37:57Z

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Because Democrats will throw tantrums and demand recounts until they get the result they're seeking.

S2011-04-07T17:45:16Z

To answer your question, Rick Scott won the Florida governor race by a slight margin -- both he and his opponent received roughly around 2.5 million votes each.

ginsuguy2011-04-07T17:49:42Z

It's anecdotal, but urban and poorer voters tend Democratic, and there is less likelihood of error in rural and suburban areas, partly because of less traffic (lower population density and fewer voters served per poll).

There are votes on local and county levels where the GOP won by a very slim margin (Adams County, PA occasionally has races within 10 votes).

The question is, do you accept the premise I state that the profile of a Democratic voter lends themselves to more errors?

In Bush v. Gore, There were counties where a net gain for Bush was realized, and in net Gore pickup counties, it was a net pickup - there were Bush votes as well.

jaymes_072011-04-07T17:41:11Z

You have pulled 4 examples of elections off the top of your head that involved recounts and are using this as "proof" that the GOP can't win close elections???

Your sample size isn't nearly large enough for your data to support your conclusions.

What's worse is that you are trying to make a political point that the GOP can't win close elections, when it could just as easily be argued that the Dem's can only win in close ones.

This question is one of the most illogical I have seen, and its made worse by the fact that you seem to believe you are using good logic and methods to prove the point.

?2011-04-07T17:37:22Z

The odds for victory are subject to a load of variables that themselves vary based on demographics of the district.

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