How likely is it that overturning Roe v. Wade would actually end legal abortion in the USA?
If the overturning decision simply voided the requirement for states to allow abortion, most states would then allow it. If the overturning decision made abortion illegal in all 50 states, that would likely lead to a Constitutional amendment making it legal, since freedom of abortion choice is supported by a large majority of the public. Abortion is legal even in Ireland now.
Mr. Smartypants2018-10-22T21:51:25Z
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Abortion is a political issue disguised as a moral or religious issue. The Republicans have been manipulating the issue since 1980 for POLITICAL gain. I don't even think they want to, or intend to, ban abortion because they'd lose it as an issue! They're controlling the discussion for maximum political mileage.
Ronald Reagan started out by promising to push for a constitutional amendment, no less, to declare the unborn as 'human beings', which would have made abortion equal to murder. But once in office he didn't even try! This is now called a 'personhood' law. Alabama had a personhood law on the ballot back in 2012, and even the voters turned it down!
Then they went through a period where the attitude was 'Well, personally I'm totally Pro Life. But I don't think it's something for the government to be involved in.'
NOW the idea is to reverse Roe v. Wade which (they say) will pas it down to the states. Frankly I don't see that happening. Every single Supreme Court nomination made by a Republican since 1980 has been promised to the Christian Right to be the single swing-vote needed to overturn Roe v. Wade. But it hasn't happened in 40 years, has it?