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Freakonomics Regression?!?
Hey guys - I've been searching high and low for the research behind Steve Levitt's chapter on "Where Have all the Criminals Gone?" I NEED to get my hands on the coefficients of the variables used in his regression....and haven't had any luck online.
I guess it's drawn from "Understanding Why Crime Fell in the 1990's: Four factors that explain the decline and six that don't." Which was in Journal of Economics Perspectives 18, no. 1 (2004), pp 163-90.
I know it's kind of obscure, but would love any help I can get - if anyone has seen the data...played around with significance of the betas used, etc. I will be forever grateful!
Ciao!
2 Answers
- Anonymous1 decade agoFavorite Answer
Facinating...you should read Levitt's whole book....
By puncturing a much-cherished set of myths about why crime fell in the US in the 1990s. It wasn’t the economy or “zero tolerance” crime policies.. It was because the likely criminals of the 1990s had been aborted in the 1970s, after the Supreme Court’s Roe v Wade decision legalised abortion across the US.
In a paper co-authored with Stanford University law professor John Donahue... Levitt showed that crime rates began to fall 18 years after the 1973 Roe v Wade decision - the time when the first babies born after legalised abortion would be hitting their peak crime-committing age. The fall in crime was proportional to the number of legal abortions in each state, and in the few states to legalise abortion three years earlier, crime also fell three years earlier.
Or as Levitt himself told Pat Robertson in a TV interview... "The kind of women who were opting for abortion tended to be young women, single women women who didn’t feel they could take care of their children. So then you fast-forward 20 years, and those children simply were not there. They hadn't grown up to be the criminals. And that’s the logic of our argument, which we support with data. But I can't caution enough that in no way are we trying to advocate abortion, or saying it is right or wrong. We are just trying to understand why crime fell, and not spend a lot of public resources on things that maybe didn't work. But people are claiming credit for it."
That one research investigation has generated more controversy than all of Levitt's work.
Good Luck....
Source(s): www.wikipedia.com - 1 decade ago
Fiction books can be purchased anywhere-
Professionally Organized Crime is rampant - Consider Privatisation as an example where equitable interests were transferred from the investors to "groups of (not our) choice" and seemingly legal despite the lack of democratic choice- politics you might say but
WHAT ABOUT THE REASONABLE RIGHTS AND EXPECTATIONS OF INVESTORS IN PROPERTY???
Are these not legal?..... by legalizing criminal activity we can alter all sorts of statistics... just like (criminal) politicians
Source(s): eyesee