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Normal Probability Distribution (Challenging Problem)?
Suppose a box contains 100,000 beads, of which 30,000 are black and 70,000 are red. If 10 beads are picked at a random from this box, find the probability that there are:
a) 4 black beads
b) more than 4 black beads
c) at most 6 red beads
d) no black beads
1 Answer
- paramvenuLv 71 decade agoFavorite Answer
Probability of getting a black bead = p = 30000/100000 = 3/10
q = 1-p = 1-3/10 = 7/10
n = 10
Binomial distribution is used
P(r) = nCr*q^(n-r)*p^r
a) P(r=4) = 10C4*(7/10)^6*(3/10)^4
= 210*117649/1000000*81/10000
= 0.2001
When normal approximation is used
Mean = np = 10*3/10 = 3
Standard deviation = sqrt (npq)
= sqrt (10*3/10*7/10)
= sqrt 210/100
= sqrt 2.10
= 1.45
z = (X-Mean)/S.D
a) z-score corresponding to X=4 is
z = (4-3)/1.45 = 0.69
The area under the standard normal curve corresponding to z = 0.69 is 0.2549
required probability = 0.2549
b) P(r>4) = 1 - P(r=0) - P(r=1) - P(r=2) - P(r=3)
c) P(r</=6) = 1 - P(r=7) - P(r=8) - P(r=9) - P(r=10)
d) P(r=0)
Make calculations using binomial distribution