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Normal Probability Distribution (Challenging Problem)?

Suppose a box contains 100,000 beads, of which 30,000 are black and 70,000 are red. If 10 beads are picked at a random from this box, find the probability that there are:

a) 4 black beads

b) more than 4 black beads

c) at most 6 red beads

d) no black beads

1 Answer

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  • 1 decade ago
    Favorite Answer

    Probability of getting a black bead = p = 30000/100000 = 3/10

    q = 1-p = 1-3/10 = 7/10

    n = 10

    Binomial distribution is used

    P(r) = nCr*q^(n-r)*p^r

    a) P(r=4) = 10C4*(7/10)^6*(3/10)^4

    = 210*117649/1000000*81/10000

    = 0.2001

    When normal approximation is used

    Mean = np = 10*3/10 = 3

    Standard deviation = sqrt (npq)

    = sqrt (10*3/10*7/10)

    = sqrt 210/100

    = sqrt 2.10

    = 1.45

    z = (X-Mean)/S.D

    a) z-score corresponding to X=4 is

    z = (4-3)/1.45 = 0.69

    The area under the standard normal curve corresponding to z = 0.69 is 0.2549

    required probability = 0.2549

    b) P(r>4) = 1 - P(r=0) - P(r=1) - P(r=2) - P(r=3)

    c) P(r</=6) = 1 - P(r=7) - P(r=8) - P(r=9) - P(r=10)

    d) P(r=0)

    Make calculations using binomial distribution

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