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I see the MSM is reporting that Ron Paul delegates are taking over conventions. Explain why he cant win?
Im not too involved with politics. I watch the news and read stories about things that interest me, but I dont look into everything. Thus im asking this question.
I saw on MSNBC, and FOX, that Ron Paul was taking over conventions, and that this trend is expected to continue. They also said that if this trend does continue, that Ron Paul could possibly take the nomination from under Romney. This shocked me beyond belief. I looked into it online and found sources that state about rules at the RNC, like rule 38, and 11, and that the RNC doesnt recognize bound delegates. I think this is what they meant when they said he can take the nomination
No im not a paulbot like some would say. I like the guy, but he is way to extreme for my blood. I originally supported Rick Perry, and lost interest when he dropped out. But I do like Paul better then Romney.
Im looking for a real, unbiased answer for this one. Ive been looking through some of these, just to find rediculous answers about "Pauls insane, and could never win the nomination". If this is the case, PLEASE EXPLAIN WHY. Sources are great as well, if some could be provided
Thanks in advanced!
6 Answers
- Joe FinkleLv 79 years agoFavorite Answer
There aren't enough States with processes that allow for Ron Paul to take over. In most of them, Mitt Romney, as the winner of the primary, nominates all of the delegates. Even in many of the States where Paul has won large numbers of delegates, State law (not RNC rules) still requires that those delegates have to vote for Mitt Romney on the first ballot and they are only free to vote as they wish if Romney doesn't get a majority on the first ballot, which is now nearly mathematically impossible.
Paul's delegates will have a major impact in a possible Party Platform fight. Typically, the party platform is handed down by the candidate and ratified by the delegates. In the 2012 convention, they might actually have a real fight about it. But Romney is definitely going to be nominated. Even Ron Paul has acknowledged that the math isn't on his side there.
Source(s): The most useful source for technical stuff like this is: http://www.thegreenpapers.com/ I'm not sure it is sufficient to completely answer your question. You've got to follow news analysis pretty regularly to keep track of this stuff. Rachel Maddow has been good about it, as have others. - Anonymous9 years ago
He can win, it's just that his chances are probably less than 5%.
Even his supporters were never thinking he was going to "win" in the traditional sense, it was ALWAYS their goal to do exactly what they're doing: get delegates, gain leverage, go to the convention and see what happens.
He now has a plurality of the delegates in at least 5 states (he may actually be up to 9 at this point), which is the minimum required to get on the ballot in Tampa.
As far as I understand, even a bound Romney delegate doesn't actually have to vote FOR Romney during the first vote (only round where bound delegates are bound to one candidate). Meaning Ron Paul people who have acquired bound Romney delegate spots (in MA for instance) could ABSTAIN from voting and then vote for Ron Paul during subsequent votes (assuming Romney doesn't get the magic 1144 on the first vote).
Long shot no doubt. But it should be interesting to say the least....
- Anonymous9 years ago
I graduated high school in 1973 and the subject was raised in class way back then. Our class actuallybwrite the RNC and I learned at that time the delegates must be unbound in part because the delegate must be able to pick a different candidate if the one winning their state has dropped out.
Like you I'd prefer someone other than Romney. I'll vote for Romney if he's the nominee because I'm not willing to vote for Obama again or waist my vote as a protest vote choosing s third party candidate with no chance of winning. I'm hopping for a brokered convention. If it goes that way anyone could end up with the nomination. Ron Paul maybe but I'd like to see Mike Huckabee in the oval office.
Possibility for brokered convention
FairVote.org | Response to “A rogue convention? How GOP party rules may surprise in 2012”
This link addresses the issue on fairvote.org website http://www.fairvote.org/response-to-a-rogue-conven...
2008 Republican national rules
- ?Lv 45 years ago
It relies upon on what occurs between right here and September, in the basically top analysis. i do no longer understand, even though it particularly isn't any longer over until it particularly is over, and meanwhile, spreading the message with the squeakiest sparkling checklist in Congress has its own fee. attempt to be in DC on July 12. Lynn B, going from Utah to Nevada for an abortion isn't precisely the comparable as a hack save. Ron Paul believes in state selection of this concern.
- MemyselfandiLv 59 years ago
I don't have to explain it. Just watch when the convention rolls around and you will see for yourself.
- Anonymous9 years ago
his supporters are like the Nazis in Germany during the 20's, very small but EXTREMELY loud and threatening!