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Stats: Checking if margin of error is correct?

If there was a survey of 1015 people and half indicated that would purchase a certain product. The margin of error is 3.1 percent. How do I check to see if the margin for error is accurate?

Update:

Or is it even possible?

1 Answer

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  • 8 years ago
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    In absence of specific information, 95% level of confidence can be assumed.

    Margin of error = confidence coefficient*standard error of p

    sample proportion = p = 1/2 or 0.5

    standard error of p = sqrt (p*(1-p)/n)

    = sqrt (0.5*0.5/1015)

    = 0.0157

    confidence coefficient = z-score for 95% confidence

    = 2 when empirical rule is followed

    = 1.96 when z-score chart is used

    a) Margin of error = 2*0.0157 = 0.0314 or 3.14%

    b) Margin of error = 1.96*0.0157 = 0.0308 or 3.08% or 3.1%

    The margin of error given is CORRECT AND ACCURATE

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