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Is it likely that the US goes to war with either Syria, Iran, or North Korea?
How likely is each? Where would ground troops be involved? Also, assuming Al Assad is topples in syria, is it true that the US is going to send about 40,000 troops to secure the chemical weapons? Thnx
6 Answers
- 8 years agoFavorite Answer
I like this question,
North Korea: We are still technically at war with due to the cease-fire agreement (which the broke a few times) but the U.S is taking a much more passive role by telling China to calm North down to avoid a confrontation however North has disobeyed them multiple times which resulted in China taking the side of the U.S on sanction. North continues to push and shove to the point where either South Korea responds of the U.S will which lead to the destruction of the North.
Iran: The U.S has the Navy in the gulf channels just in case things escalate into a flash-point or in the event Iran tries to obtain a nuclear device which would lead to the U.S surgical striking the enrichment facilities etc. Same applies for Israel's actions. They will not allow Iran to obtain the means to create a nuclear bomb cause it no secret they would send Israel back to the stone age. If Iran chooses to attack Israel or the U.S it will be a very short conflict.
Syria: The Americans will not likely go to war with Syria cause the rebels have ties to AL-Qaeda which wouldn't make sense to help let alone the U.S is growing tired of playing in Middle East. The U.S indirectly helped the Mujahedin fight of the Russians back in the 80s and that hurt them in the end. But should they feel that Syria's chemical weapons could fall into the wrong hands the Americans will send troops to secure them. Or should Syria attack Turkey or Jordan they will respond (applies for all Nato countries respond which is 35+) The U.S is providing covert support to the rebels though but they want more than that.
The most likely region to break out into a conflict is North Korea, the U.S sent various aircraft to the peninsula from B-2 stealth bombers (Nuclear capable) to B-52 bombers and F-22 Raptors (Stealth capable fighter jets) as a message to China and North that any escalation will be met with
extreme prejudice or as stated by Richard Haass (The President,council on Foreign Relations) "
"If this escalates to a war, this will be the last war on the Korean peninsula because the U.S would not stop until all of Korea is unified under the South."
Source(s): - Months of research. - Former military foreign and U.S - 8 years ago
I doubt America will stick there noses in Syria since there is nothing to steal like oil, and if it is for a peacekeeping situation they won't risk sending troops because it will be another war between military forces and there is no plan for a attack. Remember they suffered a bit in iraq.
With Iran, its unclear but its more possible since Iran experienced earthquakes toppling its military so the Americans might get there hands on the oil there, but it'll be seriously risky to attack a super power even after the earthquakes remember that they have Russia as its ally and it might re act serious to this situation because they Iran and Russia border each other so if a missile affects the russian border then this will be taken as a act of war.
And as for North Korea it won't happen Kim is trying to show off and if they will both engage in a war which I doubt America will suffer terribly because they wont be able to attack with missiles a lot since its ally SK might be affected and neither america wants to invade a country that's ready for them, remember they took serious casualties in Vietnam by a unprofessional army like viet cong but if they fight the Koreans they'll fight a serious and huge military since it has defensive positions ready, so america won't risk it.
- 8 years ago
The thing is that the U.S isn't the protagonist nor antagonist in these conflicts (with the exception of North Korea), simply an extra character. Unless it's interests or allies in the region, such as Israel, are jeopardized first, the U.S isn't likely to physically involve itself.
Syria: Not likely. The U.S isn't as involved in this conflict as it was during the Libyan revolution. As of now, the U.S is supposedly simply sending non-lethal aid to the rebels. Unless Syria gets retaliates against Israel, the U.S isn't likely to get physically involved. Regarding the chemical weapons, the U.S fears that it will fall in the hands of Hezbollah or other extremist groups which is why they might send soldiers to secure it.
Iran: Again, unless Iran acquires nuclear weapons or attacks Israel or any other ally, I doubt the U.S will get involved. This "nuclear weapons" controversy is between Israel and Iran, with nations such as the U.S and Britain backing Israel.
North Korea: This issue is different than the rest. North Korea has been threatening the U.S and it's ally South Korea, but right now it's simply spewing threats without action.
Source(s): This is just my opinion. - 8 years ago
I don't think North Korea is ready for all-out war yet but Iran is apparently getting close to obtaining a nuclear weapon. Israel can't afford to get hit by a nuclear bomb even once so depending on how close Iran is to getting one, I expect an attack on Iran within the next several months. There is no need for the U.S. to intervene in Syria.
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- JackbootLv 78 years ago
We should probably be helping al Assad to stay in power in order to maintain more stability in the region. The more encouragement the rebels have, the longer they'll fight. If the rebels win, we may have another "Benghazi" incident, only this time in Syria. Probably not all the Syrian rebels are friends of the West.
I don't think anyone can "handicap" and give you good odds of war versus peace, as you've requested here.