What are my odds of getting approved for a mortgage?

I'm a first time home buyer, who recently found a property to purchase, I was pre-qual for $230,000, I'm purchasing a townhouse for $214,000, with 10% down, so I'm asking for ~$194,000. FICO Scores all around 780

My only debt is my student loans, which I owe roughly $9,000 on, with a monthly payment of $275, which is paid through Nov 2016, meaning I don't *have* to make payments until then. I only have 1 credit card, which gets paid off in full each month, with a high limit on it, but the highest I get on the card in a month is around $300. I've had this card for about 8 years, and have not applied/closed an account in a while. I did have a car loan last year, which I paid off.

After my downpayment I will have ~$25,000 in stocks, and a little more in T-bills, which have PV of ~$7,500. I also am expecting a bonus check, and tax refund (not sure the amounts), in a month. I also have about $4,000 in a 401k. Taxes are $4,700, HOA fees are $226/mon. which is the pre-qual amount basis