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As a betting man is Trump for $3 to win a safe bet?
the last time I looked the lucky shop odds were 3 to 1. Sorry if $3 caused confusion
I 'm not American just a punter that likes to bet on winners.
Ie put $500 on the favourite and win usually they only pay $2 or $3 but alls good as long as they win.
7 Answers
- ?Lv 75 years agoFavorite Answer
Unfortunately, yes. All the nuts will be coming out to vote for him and dragging along their relatives.
- pdqLv 75 years ago
You explained in a comment to LegFuJohnson that your getting $3 for every $1 wagered. That's a whole different question, and you should have said that in your main question.
It also depends on what you mean by $3 for every dollar bet. Is that $3 profit, or is that $3 total, including the dollar you bet? If it's $3 profit, then you're getting 3-1 odds. If it's $3 total, then you're only getting 2-1 odds.
A site I use is currently offering +150. So if you bet $100, you get back $250 total for a profit of $150. Not as good as this guy is offering either way. It's 1 1/2 to 1.
If you're getting back 2/1, then I'd say this bet is a wash. It's not profitable, but you wouldn't lose money in the long run either. (You have to imagine you placed this bet like a few thousand times in a similar situation.)
If you're getting back 3/1, then it's a profitable bet. Here's what you really need to understand what I mean when I say "profitable". You are still more likely to LOSE this wager! Again, you have to imagine you could place this same bet like a thousand times. Trump loses the election about 666 times, he wins the election about 334 times, and you would make a profit.
- ?Lv 75 years ago
Not even. If you're a betting man, then you have to understand using the numbers, even if the Trump robots do not. In this case, the numbers are also called 'electoral math', as in you figure out who will win state-by-state. And if you go state-by-state, you can see that Clinton is guaranteed to win in Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Connecticut, New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Delaware, Maryland, Michigan, Illinois, Minnesota, New Mexico, Nevada, California, Oregon, Washington and Hawaii. That's not 'probably' going to win, that's guaranteed. Those are a done deal, to the point where you won't see either candidate visit any of those states, except to raise money. And all of those states add up to 231 electoral votes. 270 is the magic number to win.
Which means, Clinton only needs 39 more electoral votes from all of the other states. And the last time I checked, Trump was only leading in places like South Carolina, Mississippi, Oklahoma, North Dakota, Idaho and Utah. He's only leading in states that add up to 35 electoral votes.
So if you put all of the other states in the 'probable' or 'possible' categories, Clinton might be looking at close to between 480 and 500 electoral votes. They call that a landslide.
- Anonymous5 years ago
no. $500 for $3 is definitely not worth it. Right now it is about 50/50 in the polls that Killary will win or Trump.
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- LegFuJohnsonLv 75 years ago
The amount of money wagered doesn't change the odds. If you think it's safe, why not bet $3000?
If it's just $3, and the bet is for entertainment value, then bet on anyone for $3.
- Anonymous5 years ago
probably so