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How to calculate Confidence Level and Sample Size?
Suppose X is a normal random variable:
standard deviation=0.05; n=9; empirical mean= 4.38
A) What is the confidence level of the interval [4.36, 4.40]?
B) What should the sample size be if we wanted to know the mean at confidence level 99% with a margin of error + - 0.01?
2 Answers
- AlanLv 74 years ago
Update: Corrected math error 6/5 = 1.2 and corrected final results.
Suppose X is a normal random variable:
standard deviation=0.05; n=9; empirical mean= 4.38
A) What is the confidence level of the interval [4.36, 4.40]?
Confidence Low = mean - Z_critical* Standard dev. / Sqrt(N)
Confidence High = mean + Z_critical*standard dev. /Sqrt(N)
Confidence High -mean = +Z_Critical*standard dev/ Sqrt(N)
4.40-4.38 = Z_Critical * 0.05/ sqrt(9) = Z_Critical* 0.05/3
0.02 = Z_critical*0.05/3
Z_Critical = 3*0.02/ 0.05 = 0.06/0.05 = 6/5 = 1.2
https://www.stat.tamu.edu/~lzhou/stat302/standardn...
so look P(z< 1.2) = .88493
so the range would be from z = -1.2 to z = 1.2
P(z< -1.1) (due to symmetry) = 1- .88493
so range is .88493 - (1 - .88493 )= 0.76986
then covert to percentage by multiplying by 100
=== answer (A)
100 * 0.76986= 76.986 Percent Confidence Range
Update: B) What should the sample size be if we wanted to know the mean at confidence level 99% with a margin of error
Margin of Error is half the confidence interval
Margin of Error = Z_critical* standard deviation/sqrt(N)
Margin of Error *sqrt(N) = Z_Critical*standard deviation
sqrt(N) = Z_critical*standard_deviation / Marigin of error
we know everything but Z_critical right off
sqrt(N) = Z_Critical *0.05/ 0.01 = 5*Z_critical
N = Z_Critical^2 * 5^2 = 25*Z_Critical
N= 25*Z_critical
Z_critical for 99 % confidence which goes from 0.5 to 0.995
would be the P(z< Z) = 0.995
find the two closest values and interpolate if necessary
P(z<2.57) = .99492
P(z<2.58) = .99506
P(z< Z) = 0.995
interpolating
2.57 + ( 0.995 - 0.99492) * 0.01 / (0.99506-0.99492)
2.57 + 0.00008 *0.01/ 0.00014 ) = 2.57 + 8/14*0.01 = 2.575714286
Z_Critical = approx . 2.575714286
N = 25* (2.575714286 )^2 = 165.857602
but N has to be integer
=== answer
N = 166
=== checking answer
Margin of Error = 2.575714286 * 0.05/sqrt(166) = 0.00999571
This is less than 0.01 so it is good.
- Anonymous4 years ago
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