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grimmyTea asked in Social ScienceEconomics · 1 decade ago

Should the Bush tax cuts be allowed to expire?

There's a lot of political rhetoric being tossed around about the Democrats' 'tax and spend' policies. Some Democrats are admitting that they would increase taxes in order to spend more. While Bush wants to keep his tax cuts, he has demonstrated little to no restraint when it comes to spending--the result being a significant annual deficit (currently $300-400 billion). Bush argues that the tax cuts help the economy which results in larger tax receipts. While there is definitely truth in that, no one ever seems to address the effect the budget deficit has on the economy. It's been many years since I last studied macroeconomics, but I seem to recall a strong correlation between capital investment and economic growth. It happened post-WWII and again during Clinton's term. Clinton's term saw the highest rate of capital investment as a percentage of GDP since the 40s-50s and that was followed by the highest rate of economic growth in our history.

Update:

Using the tax cuts to drive economic growth is more of a consumption-driven approach. Attacking the deficit first (by possibly increasing taxes) would be more of an investment-driven approach (since the $300-400 billion annual deficit takes up a lot of space in the credit market).

I want to reiterate that it has been a very long time since I last thought about economics, so forgive me if I'm not completely on top of my concepts.

Update 2:

Not sure if I made my question clear...

I'm asking whether we could help the economy more my raising taxes and eliminating or, at least, reducing the federal deficit as quickly as possible.

If you are pushing consumption, I would expect to hear stuff about multiplier effects, etc. If you're pushing investment...well, I think that is a more complicated thing to argue.

3 Answers

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  • Anonymous
    1 decade ago
    Favorite Answer

    I am a huge deficit hawk so I do think that the tax cuts should be allowed to expire. I am not going to go into all the reasons that support my position, from your question you seem like a smart guy and probably know most of them anyway.

    I do want to include one link for you though. You seemed to agree with the Bush & Co. line of tax cuts helping the economy through larger receipts. This is just flat wrong, and any economist worth their salt thinks supply-side theory is a joke. But like I said, a link. A great study on the fact that the tax cuts have actually hurt our relative GDP growth compared to where we would have been sans-tax cut.

    http://www.cbpp.org/3-8-06tax.htm

    Finally, since it just popped into my head, one of the biggest problems with the tax cut & spend pattern of this administration is a lot of that spending is coming in emergency funds for the Iraq/Afgan war that is non-discretionary and thus not included in the headline deficit number at all. Our deficit has increased even more in the last 6 years than we realize.

    Please feel free to email me if you want to talk about this more, I am always interested. :)

  • 1 decade ago

    1. They are not the Bush tax cuts - they are EGTERRA of 2001.

    2. If they expire a lot of people will get hammered with estate tax (the estate applicable credit goes back down to $1 million, above that the tax quickly grows to 45%). That sounds like a lot of money, but a 50-yr old mid-level professional making $100k/yr now and who has been maxing out 401k contributions since he/she was 25 will have more than $1 million in their retirement account alone when they turn 65.

    3. Moving the LT cap gains rate from 15% back to orginary rates would also penalize people who have been saving outside their IRAs and retirement plans.

    The best way to cut the annual budget deficit, imho, is to simplify the income tax structure, no-tax on the first $25k/yr of rach pergson's AGI, then raise the rates slightly. Also increase the fed gasoline tax by 10c/gal each year.

  • kuhns
    Lv 4
    5 years ago

    As a tax adviser, i might say confident, the cuts could be allowed to run out. As you so aptly stated, maximum human beings of the tax breaks have been for the wealthy. The cuts did no longer touch maximum human beings of center and espresso earnings taxpayers. It amazes me how human beings "vote" alongside party lines in this subject. And the humorous factor is watching a motor vehicle bypass down the line it is being actually held which incorporate duck tape, with a sticky label on the returned window that pronounces "I voted Republican." You ask your self, WHY? I even have customers which will are available in and tell me how extreme their taxes would be if the fees are replaced, and are completely bowled over when I coach them there is little or "NO" exchange. Their answer is often "yet, the letter I have been given from __________ (commonly the RNC) says it truly is going to develop my taxes via THIS lots". in basic terms endure in techniques that for the duration of politics, you are able to in basic terms have faith 0.5 of what you notice, or maybe much less of what you pay attention.

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