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PROBABILITY....who can try to solve it?

in a box, there are 6 red balls and 7 blue balls.Two blue balls are drawn in the first and second draw. assuming the balls are not returned, what is the probability of getting at least 2 red balls in the next three draws?

9 Answers

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  • 1 decade ago
    Favorite Answer

    This equates to having 6 red and 5 blue and trying to draw 2 red in 3 draws.

    There are 4 possible successful draws:

    all 3 red

    red, red, blue

    red, blue, red

    blue, red, red

    The probabilities of each would be:

    6/11 * 5/10 * 4/9 = 120/990

    6/11 * 5/10 * 5/9 = 150/990

    6/11 * 5/10 * 5/9 = 150/990

    5/11 * 6/10 * 5/9 = 150/990

    Combined probability would be:

    (120 + 150 + 150 + 150) / 990

    570 / 990

    57.575757...%

  • 1 decade ago

    Solving this problem is not just trying to get all the events. It is like this:

    There are 6 red and 7 blue balls. So, all in all there are 13 balls. 2 blue balls have been drawn already without replacement. That means there are 11 balls left, 5 of which are blue and the other 6 are red. Remember that the red balls are identical with each other and so as the blue balls, meaning you cant distinguish them.

    The probability of getting a red ball in the next draw is the number of red balls over the total number of balls, that is, 6/11.

    Since, you are not going to replace the ball, the next draw would give you a probability of 5/10(only 5 red balls left and 10 balls all in all).

    In the third draw, the probability would be 4/9.

    Since, we are asked to get the probability of getting at least 2 red balls that means we need to get the probability of getting 2 red balls and 3 red balls and add it.

    The probability of getting 2 red balls in 3 draws is:

    (6/11)(5/10)= 3/11

    The probability of getting 3 red balls in 3 draws is:

    (6/11)(5/10)(4/9) = 4/33

    Adding this would give:

    4/33+3/11 = 13/33 or 39.39%

  • 1 decade ago

    you start with

    4 red, 7 blue

    sucessfull draws are

    rrb

    rbr

    brr

    rrr

    rrb can be accomplished in 4*3*1 ways

    rbr '' '' '' '' 4*1*3 ways

    brr '' '' '' '' 1*4*3 ways

    rrr '' '' '' '' 4*3*2 ways

    in total there are 11*10*9 ways to draw balls.

    netto the probability of at least 2 reds is then

    (4*3*1 + 4*1*3 + 1*4*3 + 4*3*2) / 11 * 10 * 9

  • Anonymous
    1 decade ago

    6 + 7 = 13

    13 - 2 = 11

    (number of outcomes favourable to event[getting at least 2 red balls in next 3 turns]) = 6

    number of total outcomes = 11

    answer: 6/11

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  • 1 decade ago

    6/11

  • Anonymous
    1 decade ago

    So really this is about drawing from 6 red and 5 blue.

    In the next 3 draws

    P(RRR)=6/11*5/10*4/9=120/990

    P(RRB)=6/11*5/10*5/9=150/990

    P(RBR)=6/11*5/10*5/9=150/990

    P(BRR)=5/11*6/10*5/9=150/990

    TOTAL = 570/990

    So the required probability is 57/99 or about 57.6%

  • 1 decade ago

    You have 6 red and 5 blue to start.

    6/11 + 6/11 - ( 6/11*5/10)

    12/11 - 30/110

    120/110 - 30/110

    90/110

    9/11

  • Anonymous
    1 decade ago

    total=6+7=13.

    .

    .But -2 ........=13-2=11

    ..red numbers 6.......but 6-2=4

    .

    . p=4/11

    Source(s): .
  • 1 decade ago

    So, now you have 6 red and 5 blues.

    P(at least 2 red in 3 draws)

    =Choose(6,2)*Choose(5,1)/Choose(11,3)

    +Choose(6,3)/Choose(11,3)

    = 57.57%

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