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Can Mike Huckabee still win the Republican nomination if he wins Texas?
I have a friend who is convinced Huckabee could still win the Republican nomination if he wins Texas, so she is torn between voting in her own party (as a Democrat) or voting against Huckabee to make sure he doesn't get the Republican nomination.
She says she'll vote for her preferred Democratic candidate in the Texas primary if I can show her proof that Huckabee has no way to win the Republican nomination. So that's my question - is there any way he could still pull it off? Sources please - Other than Huckabee's own website.
Good point about Ron Paul - in Beaumont he is immensely popular.
9 Answers
- Super PILv 61 decade agoFavorite Answer
It is impossible for Huckabee to win the nomination. I really don't know.
There is a total of 2,380 Republican Delegates.
Paul has 16 delegates.
Huckabee has 217 delegates. So he needs 974 more.
Romney has 286 delegates.
McCain has 812 delegates. So he needs 379 more.
To win the nomination you need 1,191.
If you add up all the delegates currently on the board the total is 1,049. That includes 29 unpledged delegates.
So there are still 1,331 delegates floating around waiting to be captured.
So there is still a chance! There are two conditions, he has to win every state and McCain has to kick the bucket.
It can happen you know!
Cheers.
- 1 decade ago
Your friend should vote in her party. One vote won't make all that much of a difference in TX.
East TX and the other scattered evangelicals are scattered assortment of Huckabee voters. The rest in the more liberal metroxplex triangle (Dallas, Austin, and San Antonio) are going to go for an environmentalist pro-immigration guy. People serious about the war are going to go for McCain. And then there probably will be some pesky Ron Paul voters like myself who will get a respectable percentage, he should do pretty well in his district.
The point is Huckabee cannot get the nomination. The vote will be so divided it would wreck any chance of his getting the delegates he needs. He probably will be mathematically out before March 4 anyway, so Huckabee votes will be equivalent to Ron Paul vanity votes. There's going to be some backroom deal to get McCain in at the convention if it comes to that, I expect a Romney/McCain tag team to eliminate the Huckster.
Jeb openly endorsed McCain as have all the celebrity big wigs in the party, and you can tell the Fuhrer is leaning towards him ("John's a solid conservative" - just like you Mr. President, HA). I wouldn't be surprised to see that crook Perry fix the ballot for his preferred candidate, Huckabee sure isn't going to offer him a cabinet position after his phone call incident.
- Anonymous1 decade ago
NO...Just ask her to do the math herself. McCain is so far ahead that its impossible for huckabee to win. I saw a simulation shown on CNN on a worst case scenario(it was shown on saturday i think,wolf blitzer) wherein McCain loses every remaining state to Huckabee (not just Texas) and guess what?! McCain still becomes the nominee (and thats because some of the upcoming states are not winner takes all)So McCain IS THE republican nominee notwithstanding ANN and LIMBAUGH!
- ebent1Lv 41 decade ago
Some people think Ron Paul will take more conservative votes than Huckabee making the huckster # 3 here. I can't say I know, but there are lots of RP signs around Dallas and I am told that in the hill country, he is very popular.
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- brashearLv 45 years ago
i think of it establishes him firmly on the right of the "2d-tier" (I hate utilising that element era). Romney's extensive war chest and company is a dominant tension in Iowa, i'm unsure how Iowans will postpone for Mike whilst stars like Rudy McThompson are available in January to divide up something of the pie. i think of Huckabee is a extra constructive conservative representative than many of the right tier, what proportion better halves do those idiots have?
- JVHawai'iLv 71 decade ago
Huckabee 's best shot is a scenario wherein McCain is a few delegates shy and Rommey tosses over all his delegates to Huckabee but that shot is way out of reach and NO Huckabee cannot win Texas - - - - Texas is McCain Territory...
Peace........ // -- -- -- O . V . O -- -- -- \\
By the way instead of the 'cute' I Like Mike - - - a more hip appeal to the voters would be - - - What the F^c^ - - - Huck!!
- Anonymous1 decade ago
Even with Texas, Huckabee is still skating uphill.
- Anonymous1 decade ago
Yes.
I think if he wins Texas, and McCain dies before the convention - he has a shot.
- Anonymous1 decade ago
RP is huge down here.