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What is your opinion of the latest electoral college updates?
Excerpts:
For the first time this year John McCain has taken the lead in the electoral college, albeit by 2 EVs. Today's configuration shows McCain ahead in all the swing states except Colorado. This means he can't afford to lose any of Nevada, New Mexico, Missouri, Ohio, Virginia, and Florida, all of which could go either way. Today might later be remembered as the beginning of the end for Obama, or just a blip. Obama now has 268 EVs. In 2004, John Kerry had 273 on this date. However, there is still a long way to go. The debates will be even more important than usual this year.
http://www.electoral-vote.com/
Your responses are looked forward to. Thanks!
23 Answers
- 1 decade agoFavorite Answer
I think it clearly shows Obama has lost momentum..at least for now. The timing of Palin's choice is perhaps even more important than how she has rallied the conservative base because there is only a small window of opportunity for Team Obama to discredit her before the election. Right now McCain/Palin are riding a train of momentum that is gaining speed and Obama will have a very difficult time stopping them prior to election day.
- 1 decade ago
I think it's a simple blip... realistically McCain would have to win so many swing states that I don't think it will happen. McCain would need a 'perfect storm' in order to win and that is obviously highly unlikely. Right now McCain is shown ahead by one point in Nevada and 2 points in New Mexico... he'd need both of them to win and I would bet a lot that they won't both go red.
I think the only real shot McCain has of winning is tipping one fairly 'big' state his way (i.e. Michigan or Pennsylvania). Both have gone blue in the last four elections and I think the ecomonic issues will resonate more with voters there than anything else- advantage Obama.
- libstickerLv 71 decade ago
No matter how hard the democrats want to avoid the truth, it's continues to show up all over the place. Sarah Palin has helped McCain, and their continued attacks to smear her are doing the exact opposite. That they continue on this destructive path, only assures that John McCain will win. We are still far from the finish line as you suggested, but unless the democrats change their strategy, which is unlikely, this is just the beginning of the end for them.
- Anonymous1 decade ago
My thoughts are that the New Mexico poll is an outlier. I wonder if more polls will come out painting it the same way. Nothing is unexpected for the rest of them IMO. Keep in mind this same map sometimes has Obama winning Montana so it's not really 100% trustworthy, I try to stick with 538
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- Tinman12Lv 61 decade ago
I don't get interested into the electoral college till 1 week away from the elections. Especially because of swing states. Too nerve racking for me right now. LOL
- Anonymous1 decade ago
It looks like McCain against Hillary on 2012.
- 1 decade ago
Be assured that when the debates come around, Obama will spend most of his time talking around the subject and not getting to an exact point. It takes him forever to answer a question. He will stutter and stammer and lose his thoughts before he can say anything. Go McCain!!!!
- FranklinLv 71 decade ago
"Todays configuration" from that particular source. Look at congressional quarterly or Rasmussen or Quinipac and you see 3 different maps.
It means the race is very close.
I agree that the debates will be very important. Quite the election we're having...
- battle-axLv 61 decade ago
It is always like this I think because of the liberal bias in the media that always skews the polls in their direction when in the end the conservative torch will be passed. The only illfate in recent history was Bill....but we can blame Ol Ross for that little fo-paw!
- ndmagicmanLv 71 decade ago
Colorado will go to Obama. So will Nevada, Ohio, and Pennsylvania as well as Michigan and maybe even Indiana.