Will Australia's climate scuttle the hottest year on record?

Interesting question. It is funny that a particular warmer threw up the weather statement, when you are asking the effect on a year's global average. Given how many times they talk about this year being the hottest or that year being the hottest, such a comment is very disingenuous.

That being said, I hardly think it matters. If it is hotter than 1998, it will be so by about 0.01-0.02 degrees. Should we see a 0.01-0.02 degree warmer year every 12 years, then it will be a very very very long time before we have anything to worry about.

Of course, If it is not, I distinctly remember a bet made between Didier and Dana, that Dana would stop posting if 2010 was not a record and Didier would stop posting if it was.

From what I've read, Australia's cooler temperatures for one season wouldn't in and of themselves have enough of an effect on global temperature averages to 'scuttle' 2010 as the hottest year on record, but what I am trying to find out is if the combined record cold temperatures in the UK and the severe winter across much of the U.S. last year would be enough along with Australia's cool weather in 2010 to prevent a new record.

I don't know how to calculate land mass seasonal variations vs.global year long averages-so the question that is raised if 2010 does somehow end up being the hottest year on record is where and how much warmer it got in other regions to offset the cooler weather noted. That would seem to me to be the issue and tend to support the conclusions of science that we will see more extremes. Once could obviously say that -1.23 degrees centigrade is no 'extreme,' but what it may portend is more ominous and I'd like to see that studied further. A lot of these reported regional climate trends may seem minor to us because they are gradual over our lifetimes and we may tend to poo poo a few degrees here and there, but the human life span is very short and our concept of what climate change actually is may be limited as a result.

Well, we've seen the admissions that the oceans are cooler, we notice that Australia had a cold winter, as did South America. Europe and North America are in the deep freeze now, with much colder than normal temperatures.

But we continue to hear the same lie that it's the warmest it's ever been... in spite of what people are actually witnessing around the world.

Get ready for the lectures about weather and climate :) The climate has been rubbish for three years all over Europe and the winters have been particularly severe all over the world yet the amazing global warming figures continue to rise since 1998 which was without a doubt the warmest year! Michael Mann did say that they must "hide the decline" so I guess this is his words in action.

They are constantly recalibrating their satellites, buoys, and other temperature measuring equipment... I just don't know how long they can keep it up considering it was only five years ago that they told us to expect mild winters where snow would be a rare occurrence and hot dry summers with droughts and hose pipe bans all of these religious prophesies have just not come true!

But they will lecture you on climate and weather and how Australia is a very small part of the overall global picture and that only they can measure temperatures across vast areas like the Pacific ocean which are rising... bla bla bla and then in another breath tell us that the Russian drought and Pakistan floods were unusual and a sign of global warming as they travel 1st class to Cancun for a hot air "save the world" concert all paid for by our green tax dollars!

Well, Australia's land mass is 1.5% the total surface of the Earth and just over 5% of the total land surface area....

I'm also not sure how to take the data on the minimum temperatures. It looks like maybe it's not so much that it's cold overall as it is that it's just not getting warm during the day...or it could be evidence of AGW since they are seeing warming at night (I'm assuming that the minimums are occurring at night in most instances).

Edit:

Isn't it shocking to see all the usual suspects, some of whom say that "the warming is natural" take cold weather as evidence that there isn't any warming at all...yet again. Of course, they will say again tomorrow that the warming is natural... And they want us to believe that they know what they are talking about, even though they can't stay consistent from one day to the next.

_

The whole global climate change crisis is nothing more than a myth, made up by people who receive some kind of monetary or political gain.

Nope. The alarmists will just erase Australia from the map for a year. Remember the global warming rule. If you don't like the data. Change it.

Given the data Trevor gave and the onset of La Nina I would say most likely. However, as I am not a climate scientist and have only gotten into this type of debate within the last year I'm not really the one to ask. If you look at the dataset this is based off of you can view where exactly we stand in relation to 2005.

http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/GLB.Ts...

Most likely, but I have a feeling that the GIS information will be manipulated to show that it is the warmest.

I've noticed that they have been awfully quiet lately.