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It seems there is a common pattern. A president who is elected gets a strong advantage toward being reelected, but after 2 terms, the?
country wants a different party in charge.
This pattern repeats over and over.
2 terms of Obama (D) followed by (R)
Same for Bush II.
Same for Clinton
Reagan's success I guess broke the pattern for one term, as did Carter's failure.
Nixon elected to 2 terms followed by (D)
Kennedy elected to 2 terms followed by (R)
Eisenhower elected twice followed by (D)
This goes all the way back until there were no term limits.
So is it that neither party can keep the country happy for long?
Is it that once a president is elected, he has an unfair advantage toward reelection?
Is it that the desire for change is stronger than the desire to stay in power, so more people are motivated to vote after 2 terms of a president they don't like from the other party?
Maybe we should switch to one 6 year term. The first year is a learning curve. The last year is campaigning. Maybe the country would be better served with a different format.
What do you think?
1 Answer
- u_bin_calledLv 74 years ago
Yes, that is a common pattern. This is why the notion that Bernie and Hillary were the "best" that the Democratic Party had to offer was a myth. Potential candidates like Andrew Cuomo purposely stayed out of the race because they knew history was against them and they didn't want to be known as "the last loser."
Of course, this idea can also backfire...just ask Andrew's father Mario Cuomo....
The elder Cuomo was being groomed by the party for the Presidency and was a popular voice against the policies of Reagan and Bush...he chose not to run in 1992, however, because of the assumed advantage Bush would have as the incumbent and due to his approval ratings over the "quick" Gulf War...
Other leading Democrats agreed and resulted in a "dull and uninspiring" list of candidates.... a slate above which Bill Clinton was able to rise and distinguish himself with his "new age" charm.
Clinton tapped into the values of the '70s generation and the rest...as they say....is history. In private, Cuomo has been known to admit that his decision not to run in '92 was the biggest mistake of his career...
