What are Hillary's chances to win both Ohio & Texas? If she wins one of the two, is she pretty much out?

It doesn't matter "if" she wins, it matters how many delegates she gets. "Winning" and "Losing" doesn't really exist in Dem Primaries, its all about how much you win by. She needs a double digit win in one of the two states. A close win in both states will net her no more than 20 delegates. That makes little difference when Obama is ahead by 80.

To answer your questions explicitly:

1. No, needs big wins in both.

2. IF she wins Texas big and loses Ohio close, then she has a chance. Needs to win big in Penn.

3. If she loses both it depends upon the margin. If Obama wins one big (10% or more) it is done. If he wins both by small margins it will make the superdelegates ultra-important.

1. Not necessarily

2. Her chances are still stronger than the media is making it seem right now.

3. Incorrect. She can lose both Texas and Ohio and still go on to get the nomination, though it would be less likely.

She needs to take both with substantial margins, say 15%. Remeber, delegates on the dem side are apportioned, not winner take all. And Obama has about 150 delegates more than her, if you count pledged supers.

Because of Bill's longstanding position in the DNC, Hillary will have more superdelegates , but I doubt it will be enough to carry her over the top.Even if she gets a 15% margin in OH and TX, she will still need to gain a similar margin in PA to have a chance at the convention.

You will see a full press by Hillary and her supporters to get the delegates from Florida and Michigan reinstated. The cry of "Make every vote count!" will once again ring out. Only this time, the DNC will be getting the stinky end of the stick.

As a practical matter, she needs to win "by a couple of touchdowns" in both states in order to remain viable. Then she would have to continue her win streak through June. Although she won't be "out" if she loses both, she becomes the Democratic version of Mike Huckabee: it would be mathematically possible for her to win, but not likely given the prevailing trend.

Hilary can win the Texas vote easily, as she dominates the Latino vote which helped her win states like Arizona, California, New Mexico & Florida. She also is not as far left as Barack Obama, which helps her chances in a state like Texas as well.

She will win Texas because there are not enough blacks and to many Latinos (who are more raciest towards blacks then any white person)

Ohio - its a toss up

The last time I looked the delegates were still very close...

She is planning on taking the nomination with super delegates.

she wins both ohio & texas

Most analysts are saying, and I Think they are correct, that she not only must win both, but win both by more than 60%.

That is not likely.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/lates...