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Likelihood of the Next President?
Give your breakdown of likelihood of the next President of the USA in the following format, please:
McCain: xx%
Clinton xx%
Obama: xx%
Nader: xx%
Not percentage of vote but rather likelihood of winning. BA to the person who best justifies their numbers and gives what I consder a reasonable set of numbers. Thanks, hope you enjoy.
You can out a "Other" category if you think an independent will step up to the plate, perhaps Ron Paul or Bloomberg or Leiberman.
9 Answers
- Anonymous1 decade agoFavorite Answer
Mccain 60%
Clinton 25%
Obama 12%
Nader 3%
- IG64Lv 51 decade ago
Nader 0% Never gets more than a hand full of nut job votes in any given election... may not even show up on the ballot in a lot of states.
Obama was likely to have won the democratic primary and would have then had a 50/50 chance of winning... of course now that the world knows he has been going to a church that is shall we say... the black version of the KKK... his chances of even winning the primary have pretty much gone down the toilet... even though he had a chance to salvage the problem in his speech he instead refused to disown the church... look for him to fail to beat Hillary in the Penn and then expect the super delegates to swing her way... Obama will be like Osama, in hiding.
As for Hillary... she was pretty much toasted until the above mentioned implossion... now she will get the nomination. The trick in determining whether she wins is in who she picks as a running mate... The right choice would cement her winning... the wrong choice will hand it to McCain....
As for McCain he is at the mercy of Hillary... If he were smart he would simply ignore tradition and pick Joe Lieberman as a running mate and insure himself a victory... But that wont happen so with any other VP he is at the mercy of Hillary's choice.
In the end the odds are that Hillary will not choose wisely because her ego will cause her to pick based on not wanting to be one upped... that will seal her fate...
McCain will win 100%...
- Anonymous1 decade ago
McCain = 35%
Clinton = 5%
Obama = 60%
Nader = 0%
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- 1 decade ago
mccain 50
hillary 49
obama45
nader 0
the way thing are oing with obamas issue soon people will forget like they did about bush lied about the war and start focusing on the economy am seeing hillary going up
- 1 decade ago
McCain: 100%
If you are a supporter of the female or the Black runners, sorry it's just wishfull thinking.
- Anonymous1 decade ago
100% Obama or we going to protest and roit.
