Do you think Arctic ice will reach a new low this year?

No, the past 2 years have been moderate La Nina years and in a solar cycle mininmum, so global temperatures have been relatively cool. This is starting to change, as we're predicted to return to ENSO-neutral conditions this month:

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/CDB/Forecast/fore...

However, global temperatures won't be as high as they were in 2007 (when the record low Arctic sea ice extent was set), so the record won't be broken this year. I do think it will happen next year, but as you can see, the extent is currently significantly above the 2007 mininum:

http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/daily_im...

The trend is retreat. But short term predictions are more difficult than long term ones on this occasion. The key term is trend i.e based on years. If you said would the Artic ice reach a new low over the next decade then the answer would be yes. Just imagine you asked the question a decade ago, and then look at the results. In fact you can go back to 2000 data and look at the predictions being made by climate scientists and see how correct they were. [just google it]

"New low" since 1895? Perhaps, perhaps not. Probably not. But you also need to define your terms - new low thickness or cover? This is another little spin game the AGW believers play. Newer ice cover is thinner, for obvious reasons. So when ice cover spreads rapidly, it is clearly cooling - but it's also statistically true that a growing percentage of the total ice is thinner, and thus that the average thickness has declined - - - you can say that in a way that makes it sound like there's less ice even though there's actually more. And that's how they spin global warming.

EDIT - the "trend" has been a retreat for 15,000 years. The Arctic ice cap used to extend to the NY/PA border.

I think so. I also think it is now unstoppable.