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Hugo
Lv 5
Hugo asked in Science & MathematicsMathematics · 9 years ago

probability in the paint factory.?

in the four weeks of dec 2011. seven thousand gallons of paint were sold and yesterday a total of 123 gallons were sent back by the distributor as "spoiled", 113 of them were checked as emulsifier error and 10 as color failure. The production can be grouped by colors as follows: 1345 yellow; 2746 blue; 2332 red and 577 white. a) What is the probability that a gallon of white paint be spoiled.

b)And if a blue gallon is spoiled, what is the probability it is by emulsifier error.

1 Answer

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  • 9 years ago
    Favorite Answer

    Pr. of spoilage = 123/7000 = 0.0176 >>>>> Pr (emulsifier) = 113/123 = 0.919

    Pr Color failure) = 10/123 = 0.081

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    1.000

    ---------------------------

    Pr. (yellow) = 1345/7000 = 0.192

    Pr. (blue) = 2746/7000 = 0.393

    Pr. (red) = 2332/7000 = 0.333

    Pr.(white) = 577/7000 = 0.082

    --------------------------

    Pr Emulsifier

    ---------

    1.000

    --------------------------

    Pr(emulsifier|+yellow) 0.919*0.192 = 0.176

    Pr(emulsifier +Blue) 0.919*0.393 = 0.358

    Pr (emulsifier + red) 0.919*0.333 = 0.306

    Pr (emulsifier(white) 0.919* 0.082 = 0.075

    Pr (color+ yellow) = 0.031*0.192 = 0.006

    Pr (color + blue) = 0.031* 0.393 = 0.012

    Pr. (Color + red) = 0.031*0.333 = 0.010

    Pr. (color + white) = 0.031*0.082 = 0.003

    Pr of white being spoiled = Pr(emulsifier + white) + Pr. Color + white) =0.078

    Pr of emulsifier + blue = 0.358

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