What is your opinion of FiveThirtyEight and it's election forecast procedure?

Question

Link: http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus

Anonymous · Answer

Projections 3 months out aren't terribly useful, but Trump airlines is on a glide-path to impact.

538 has been very accurate on Presidential (not so much on the primaries) elections.

Can Trump pull up at the last minute?

Nothing I'd wager on at this point.

Alice · Answer

He is a statistician and so far pretty accurate at predictions.

Not sure you can beat pure numbers. Those who claim Nate Silver is biased don't really know much about his methodology.

Rise of Iron · Answer

FiveThirtyEight admits to being biased against Trump:

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-i-acted-like-a-pundit-and-screwed-up-on-donald-trump/

So at least he admits it.

They are just polls.  They don't really mean much.
----------------------

Edit: "do you think this a fair procedure"...it's their website, they can do it how ever they want.  Like I said, it makes no difference.

? · Answer

Ridiculous.

Anonymous · Answer

They're not doing predictions. They're trying to MANIPULATE THE OUTCOME.

Anonymous · Answer

I think it's biased in favor of conman Donald.

Anonymous · Answer

Nate Silver has been highly accurate in the past

Greg · Answer

That they are pretty accurate historically.

But as always..... they might be wrong.

Even Nate Silver admits that.

Trending News